Monero (XMR) Price Analysis: Trends of September 19–25, 2018


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Key Highlights:

  • There is a probability of further ranging movement within the territories;
  • there may be increased in price this week;
  • traders should take a long position at the lower level of the price range.

XMR/USD Long-term Trend: Ranging

Distribution Territories: $150, $178, $206
Accumulation Territories: $102, $77, $45The cryptocurrency resumed its range bound movement last two weeks between the distribution territories of $150 and accumulation territory of $102. On August 14th, the coin reached its low at the lower accumulation territory of $77 and commenced a bullish movement. On September 4th, the price reached the upper level of the price range at $150 and was unable to break the distribution level of $150 due to the formation of a bearish pin bar. The price rejection led to the downward movement with the formation of a strong bearish candle. It made the price to fell to the low level of the price range at $102.

The price continues its ranging within the territories of $150 and $102. The 4-day EMA interlocked the 50-day EMA on the daily chart with the price consolidating below both 4-day EMA and 50 – day EMA.

Currently, the price has tested the accumulation level of $102, a bullish retracement is possible. Since the upper level of the price was not broken, that should have been an opportunity to initiate a short trade. Therefore, traders can look out to initiate a long trade at a lower level of price in case of the price fall to the lower level of the price range.

Should the strong accumulation level of $102 get broken, the pair will experience further downward movement and get exposed to another accumulation level at $77.

The MACD with its histogram at the zero level and the signal lines interlocked at zero level indicates that the price is consolidating at the accumulation territories of $102. Traders should watch out for the breakout and take a position.

XMR/USD Price Medium-term Trend: Bearish

On the 4-Hour chart, the coin is in a downward trend. The price fell after the formation of a bearish engulfing bar at the distribution territories of $150 last two weeks. More strong bearish candles were formed and the price has been trending downward. The price is moving towards the north with 10-day EMA below the price and 50-day EMA, which indicates that there is a probability for the price to resume bullish movement this week. Should the coin breaks the lower distribution level of $77 further downtrend movement could be experienced. However, MACD is below zero with its signal lines pointing upward suggesting that the bulls may take control of the market this week.